journal articles

Brexit and the Macroeconomic Impact of Trade Policy Uncertainty [paper] [slides] [data + code]
2019: Journal of International Economics, 117, 175-195
YouTube video of talk at MOVE Round Table on Economic and Political Impact of Brexit

On the Source of U.S. Trade Deficits: Global Saving Glut or Domestic Saving Drought? [paper] [data + code]
2019: Review of Economic Dynamics, 31, 200-223 

International Portfolio Diversification and the Structure of Global Production [paper] [data + code]
2018: Review of Economic Dynamics, 29, 195-215

Global Imbalances and Structural Change in the United States [paper] [slides] [data + code]
2018: Journal of Political Economy, 126, 761-796 (with T. J. Kehoe and K. J. Ruhl)
NBER Working Paper #19339
Review in The Region

The Next Best Thing to Knowing Someone Who is Usually Right [paper]
2006: Journal of Wealth Management, 9, 51-60 (with R. Wertheimer and G. Smith)

working papers

Export Market Penetration Dynamics [slides]
Draft coming soon!

The Macroeconomic Impact of NAFTA Termination [paper] [slides]
2019: Revise and resubmit at Canadian Journal of Economics

Information, Contract Enforcement and Misallocation [paper]

Real Exchange Rate Undervaluation, Financial Development and Economic Growth [paper]

other publications

What Will Happen When Foreigners Stop Lending to the United States? [paper]
2013: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Economic Policy Papers, 13-4 (with T. J. Kehoe and K. J. Ruhl)

Inequality and Redistribution During the Great Recession [paper]
2012: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Economic Policy Papers, 12-1 (with F. Perri)


The Economic Effects of Trade Policy Uncertainty, by A. Caldara, M. Iaoviello, P. Molligo, A. Prestipino, and A. Raffo [slides]

Protectionism and the Business Cycle, by A. Barattieri, M. Cacciatore, and F. Ghironi [slides]

Trade Adjustment Dynamics and the Welfare Gains from Trade, by G. Alessandria, H. Choi, and K. Ruhl [slides]

Trade Integration and the Trade Balance in China, by G. Alessandria, H. Choi, and D. Lu [slides]